Board of Peace Gaza plan faces test over whether Hamas will truly disarm

November 15, 2026, is the date that could determine whether the Board of Peace’s Gaza plan has achieved its central objective: Hamas handing over its weapons and tunnels. The deadline falls 90 days after an August 17 meeting in Jerusalem, where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met Jared Kushner, Nickolay Mladenov and Sir Tony Blair after their negotiations in Egypt with Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya.

The Cairo understanding calls for Hamas to surrender its weaponry and tunnels within 90 days. Kushner described the prospect to Fox News as “a win-win situation” for Israel, saying that a voluntary handover would remove what he called a major security threat.

The August meeting also created two working groups to advance the plan. One will oversee disarmament and demilitarization. Netanyahu’s office said Israel and the Board of Peace want that process completed promptly, before reconstruction begins. The other group will focus on sanitation, clean water and public health in Gaza.

The plan has faced a sequencing problem. It calls for both Hamas to disarm and the Israel Defense Forces to withdraw, while each side had indicated that it would act only after the other moved first. The emerging arrangement appears to put Hamas’s disarmament first. Israeli withdrawal would then follow agreed standards, milestones and timetables as the International Stabilization Force establishes control and security. An Israeli security perimeter could remain until Gaza is considered secure.

Under the United Nations-endorsed plan, the stabilization force would operate temporarily alongside Israel, Egypt and a newly trained and vetted Palestinian police force. Its tasks would include securing borders, supporting demilitarization, dismantling military and terrorist infrastructure, decommissioning weapons held by non-state armed groups and protecting civilians.

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For Israel, we think this is a win-win situation, because if Hamas actually gives over the weapons and the tunnels willingly over the next 60 to 90 days, that obviously would be the elimination of a huge security threat for Israel, almost an unthinkable achievement.