Can picking personal Lotto lines change the odds? We ran the numbers – Timothy Falcon Crack and Peter Alexander Whigham
Summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- A study analyzed a Lotto New Zealand dataset of 400 million played games to determine if personal number selection affects odds.
- The analysis suggests that Lucky Dip tickets, chosen randomly by the system, tend to yield higher average payoffs than self-picked numbers.
- This finding challenges the common belief that personal number choices hold a statistical advantage.
Many dedicated Lotto players adhere to a set of numbers, often based on personal significance like family birth dates, believing these choices hold a unique advantage. However, a new analysis of a substantial Lotto New Zealand dataset suggests this personal touch might not influence the odds in their favor.
Researchers examined a dataset encompassing 400 million played Lotto games. The findings indicate that tickets selected through the "Lucky Dip" option, where the numbers are generated randomly by the system, typically result in higher average payoffs compared to tickets where players manually pick their own numbers.
This analysis challenges the common intuition that personal number selections, imbued with sentimental value, might carry a statistical edge. The data implies that the perceived uniqueness of personal numbers does not translate into a better chance of winning or a higher payout when compared to random selections.
Originally published by NZ Herald. Summarized and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.