China's Submarine ICBM Test Targets Japan, U.S., Says Taiwan Lawmaker

China recently conducted a test launch of a submarine-launched intercontinental ballistic missile into the South Pacific, sparking significant concern among regional nations. Chen Guan-ting, a convener of Taiwan's legislative foreign and defense committee, stated that such missiles are primarily designed for long-range power projection and strategic nuclear deterrence.

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The intercontinental ballistic missile's main function is to establish long-range projection capabilities and strategic nuclear deterrence.

Chen explained that this test demonstrates China's ambition to compete strategically with nuclear powers like the U.S. and Russia. He also noted the timing of the launch, occurring during a period of strained Sino-Japanese relations and near the anniversary of the Marco Polo Bridge Incident, suggesting a high degree of political signaling. The message, he asserted, is directed not only at Japan but also clearly at the United States and other countries that might intervene in regional conflicts.

Analyzing China's broader military strategy, Chen identified "anti-access and area denial" as a key focus. He views the missile test as a strategic deterrent, signaling that external intervention in a Taiwan Strait or regional conflict could escalate to levels unbearable for all parties involved. When China displays intercontinental nuclear deterrence and cross-regional strike capabilities, it presents a security challenge that no single nation can face alone, necessitating a collective security and defense approach.

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China's signal is not only aimed at Japan but also clearly directed at the United States and other countries that might intervene in regional conflicts.

Chen emphasized that Taiwan, along with the U.S., Japan, and the Philippines, are crucial members of the First Island Chain and the Indo-Pacific security framework. The threats they face are interconnected. Taiwan must not only bolster its own defense but also deepen security cooperation with like-minded nations, including intelligence sharing, joint air and sea surveillance, early warning mechanisms, logistical support, and drone cooperation. Building a tighter regional security network is essential to counter China's strategy of dividing and intimidating countries individually through military pressure.

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When China displays intercontinental nuclear deterrence and cross-regional strike capabilities, it presents a security challenge that no single nation can face alone, necessitating a collective security and defense approach.

He reiterated that Taiwan has no intention of provoking China and aims to maintain the status quo and regional peace. However, facing China's increasing nuclear and long-range strike capabilities, Taiwan cannot bear this burden alone or rely solely on verbal assurances. Stronger self-defense capabilities and closer collective security cooperation among Taiwan, the U.S., Japan, and the Philippines are necessary to prevent unilateral changes to the regional situation.

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Taiwan has no intention of provoking China, and its policy objective has always been to maintain the status quo in the Taiwan Strait and regional peace and stability.