China to see unusually active typhoon season after Bavi passes, climate agency forecasts more storms

China is bracing for a potentially more active typhoon season this summer, with forecasts indicating stronger and more frequent tropical cyclones.

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are expected to be strong overall

The National Climate Centre predicts that as many as six tropical cyclones could impact the country during the summer months. These storms are expected to be intense and primarily affect the southern and eastern coastal regions.

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Fortunately, the worst-case flooding scenario did not materialise

While Typhoon Bavi recently weakened over the weekend, avoiding the widespread flooding initially feared by some forecasters, its remnants are still expected to bring heavy downpours to the northeastern provinces of Liaoning and Jilin through July 15.

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The primary reason appears to be that the storm tracked slightly farther north and moved inland a bit faster than some of the earlier guidance had suggested

Experts suggest the storm tracked slightly farther north and moved inland faster than anticipated, limiting the duration of intense moisture over single areas. This dynamic reduced the potential for extreme, back-to-back thunderstorms that often cause severe flooding.

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That dynamic reduced the amount of time that Bavi’s deepest tropical moisture remained over the same areas, limiting the potential for back-to-back thunderstorms that can produce the most extreme flooding