Climate: Increased probability of a very strong El Niño event, warns Copernicus institute

Global climate experts are growing more certain that a powerful El Niño phenomenon is probable this year, according to the European climate observatory Copernicus. The likelihood of a moderate to strong, or potentially unprecedented, El Niño event is leaning heavily in favor of its occurrence.

This heightened conviction stems from a review of climate models conducted between May 1 and June 1. Carlo Buontempo, director of the Copernicus service, stated that "all models have revised their forecasts upward" during this period, indicating a significant shift in predictions. The data suggests a strong possibility that the natural weather cycle will manifest with considerable intensity.

El Niño is a recurring natural cycle in the Pacific Ocean. It typically begins in the spring and gradually influences global temperatures, wind patterns, and overall climate in the subsequent months. Its potential return this year is a cause for concern among scientists and climate experts, particularly in the context of a warming planet.