Crossing Israel's dividing lines: New Arab, haredi alliances can reshape the elections

As Israeli elections loom, the nation's public discourse is increasingly fractured, with the potential for social divisions to intensify, according to the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI). The JPPI's Emotional Proximity Index reveals that Arabs and ultra-Orthodox Jews are the most disliked groups, a sentiment with significant political implications.

This widespread emotional distance translates into political marginalization, as parties representing these communities are often excluded from governing coalitions. Haredi parties face opposition due to their stance on military service exemptions, while Arab parties are largely relegated to the opposition due to their non-Zionist platforms. This dynamic effectively renders about a third of Israel's citizens illegitimate partners in government for many political actors.

However, the upcoming election campaign presents an opportunity for social repair through cross-sectoral alliances. A potential move of Mansour Abbas and Yoav Segalovitz joining Ra'am could challenge the perception of Arab parties as disloyal. If Segalovitz, known for his anti-crime platform, were appointed national security minister with civic backing, it could send a powerful message, especially if included in a broad coalition.

Similar potential for integration exists within the Haredi community. Despite a facade of unity, many ultra-Orthodox Jews are dissatisfied with their leadership's rhetoric, refusal to share the defense burden, and resistance to reforms that perpetuate poverty and isolation. An organized movement of Haredim seeking integration in employment and military service could represent a significant bloc of voters, challenging the status quo and fostering greater societal inclusion.