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Despite attempts at regaining normal life, Iranians expect no post-war respite under military rule

From Jerusalem Post · (15h ago) English Critical tone

Summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

TLDR

  • Iranians are trying to return to normal life despite economic hardship and fear of renewed government crackdown following recent airstrikes and protests.
  • Peace talks between Iran and the US in Pakistan have yet to yield an agreement, with a fragile ceasefire set to expire soon.
  • Analysts believe the conflict and potential US-Iran deal will worsen economic conditions for ordinary Iranians, with little prospect for a better future under the current regime.

Despite the outward appearance of normalcy with shops and parks reopening, a deep-seated fear and anger permeate Iranian society in the wake of recent US and Israeli airstrikes and a brutal crackdown on January protests. While the fragile ceasefire holds and peace talks tentatively proceed, the economic devastation is immense, and the populace remains apprehensive about further repression. The difficulties that fueled the January unrest are poised to intensify, casting a long shadow over the nation's future.

The war will end, but thatโ€™s when our real problems with the system begin. Iโ€™m very afraid that if the regime reaches an agreement with the United States, it will increase pressure on ordinary people.

โ€” FaribaA 37-year-old Iranian who participated in January unrest, expressing fear about the post-war future and potential government crackdown.

The ongoing negotiations between Iran and the United States, held in Pakistan, have so far failed to secure a lasting resolution. With the current ceasefire nearing its end, the prospect of renewed hostilities looms large. For Iranians, the war has not only caused widespread destruction and loss of life but has also crippled the economy, leading to mass job layoffs and exacerbating existing hardships. The hope for a respite is overshadowed by the fear that any agreement reached between the regime and the US could lead to increased pressure on ordinary citizens.

Iranians understood that this war is not going to topple the regime, but at the same time, it's going to make their lives much worse economically.

โ€” Omid MemarianIran analyst at independent US-based think tank Dawn, commenting on the economic impact of the war on Iranians.

Analysts observe that the war, while not toppling the regime, has significantly worsened the economic situation for Iranians. The military's continued grip on power, coupled with the destruction of infrastructure, leaves little room for optimism. The sentiment among many is that the conflict will end, but the real struggle for survival and a better future will only begin then. This perspective highlights the unique challenges faced by Iranians, where the end of external conflict does not necessarily translate to domestic peace or prosperity, leaving them bracing for a potentially prolonged period of hardship under continued authoritarian rule.

The military is not going to put down their guns. They are going to stay, and it's going to be bloody. It's going to be costly, with no prospect for a better future.

โ€” Omid MemarianIran analyst at independent US-based think tank Dawn, describing the bleak outlook for Iran following the conflict.
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Originally published by Jerusalem Post. Summarized and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.