EKO ATLANTIC, DANGOTE REFINERY AND CHIKE-OBI
Summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- Mustafa Chike-Obi, former chairman of Fidelity Bank, suggested Eko Atlantic City could surpass the Dangote Refinery in contributing to Nigeria's GDP.
- He argued Eko Atlantic's long-term economic impact would be broader due to its capacity to attract businesses and residents, predicting it would employ more people than the refinery.
- The author disputes Chike-Obi's hypothesis, asserting the refinery will remain a larger GDP contributor by all standard business metrics.
Mustafa Chike-Obi, a prominent figure in Nigeria's financial sector, has ignited debate by proposing that Eko Atlantic City might ultimately contribute more to the nation's Gross Domestic Product than the massive Dangote Petroleum Refinery.
Speaking on the podcast "Policy Without Politics," Chike-Obi, son of renowned mathematician Prof. Chike Edozien Obi, argued that while the refinery has revolutionized the downstream oil sector, Eko Atlantic's potential for attracting businesses, institutions, and residents positions it for broader and more significant long-term economic impact. He projected that within a decade, the city would employ more people than the refinery and that its overall economic contribution would dwarf that of the refinery.
Ten years from now, Eko Atlantic will employ more people than the refinery can employ in 10 yearsโฆ by the time Eko Atlantic is a well thought-out, developed city, the impact on the Nigerian economy and GDP will, in my opinion, dwarf that of the refinery.
Chike-Obi also advocated for an "even-handed approach" from the federal government in supporting landmark private sector investments. He noted that both projects are in free trade zones, but Eko Atlantic appears to rely less on government support than the refinery, suggesting the government should consider investing in the city.
However, the author of the article strongly contests Chike-Obi's hypothesis, labeling it "disputable and flawed." By established economic parameters, the Dangote Refinery is presented as a far more substantial contributor to GDP through its production of goods and services, capital investment, and foreign exchange earnings. The article asserts that any business creating goods, investing in expansion, and engaging in international trade inherently contributes more to GDP.
If government is going to invest in something as big, important and successful as the refinery, they should consider an investment in Eko Atlantic in some way.
Originally published by ThisDay. Summarized and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.