Expert: Russia may mobilize this fall, but not before elections
Translated from Swedish, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
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- Defense expert Johan Huovinen believes Russia may mobilize more soldiers this fall, but not before the September parliamentary elections.
- Huovinen argues that forced conscription could be Russia's only remaining option, but delaying it is crucial to maintaining public trust.
- This perspective contrasts with think tank ISW's analysis suggesting preparations for a larger mobilization are already underway.
Defense expert Johan Huovinen suggests that Russia might resort to a new, large-scale mobilization of soldiers this autumn. However, he believes such a move would likely occur after the September parliamentary elections, as President Putin risks losing public confidence if he initiates conscription beforehand.
Huovinen's assessment contrasts with recent analysis from the think tank ISW, which indicated signs that the Kremlin might be preparing for a new mobilization. Earlier reports had estimated that any such action would be postponed until after the elections.
The expert's view emphasizes the delicate balance Putin must maintain with public opinion. While forced conscription could become Russia's sole viable path forward, the timing is critical to avoid alienating the population.
Putin risks losing public trust.
DistantNews Editorial
Originally published by Svenska Dagbladet in Swedish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.
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