Ground Invasion of Iran Could Trigger World War, Analyst Warns

A potential ground invasion of Iran by the United States could trigger a world war, according to analyst Denis Avdagić. He describes the current situation between Iran and the U.S. as being in a phase of "full escalation," with little reason for optimism about future developments. Avdagić warns that the conflict's economic repercussions could be even more severe than the military aspects, projecting that a liter of gasoline or diesel could cost three to four euros. Such price hikes would likely lead to widespread public discontent and street protests, as many would have no other choice but to express their dissatisfaction.

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As they say, the frog is cooked slowly, and that's exactly what's happening.

Avdagić views a U.S. ground operation against Iran as a real possibility, though currently appearing unlikely. He stresses that such a conflict, if it moved to land, would immediately become regional and potentially spiral into a global confrontation. Therefore, he emphasizes the need for reason, mediation, and diplomatic solutions to prevent further escalation. While acknowledging that it's too late to question the necessity of the conflict, Avdagić insists that the current focus must be on agreements, peace, and de-escalation.

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Such a war, as soon as it moves to land, would from the very beginning become regional, and perhaps an introduction to a world conflict.

The analyst highlights the critical role of the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb in the global economy, referring to the Strait of Hormuz as a "nuclear option." He cautions against underestimating either the U.S. military might or the strategic importance of Hormuz. Combined with Bab el-Mandeb, these chokepoints present a recipe for "complete chaos." While expressing some confidence that Europe will not be left without energy and essential resources, Avdagić acknowledges that in a globalized world, no one can afford to be indifferent to the fate of others. He notes that further escalation in the Middle East, following sanctions on Russia, further limits Europe's options.

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The Strait of Hormuz is a kind of nuclear option.