Is TSMC Stock Worth Buying? Foreign Media Points to Historical Data for Answers
Translated from Chinese, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- TSMC's ADR stock price is trading around $430, near its 52-week high of $480.
- While its current price-to-earnings ratio of 31 is above its 10-year average of 23, analysts suggest it's justified by the company's sustained high growth.
- Management forecasts strong chip demand through 2029-2030, particularly from the AI sector, supporting the current valuation.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) ADRs are trading around $430, a notable price point given the stock's 52-week high nearing $480. Investors are weighing whether the current valuation is justified, especially as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 31, significantly higher than its 10-year average of 23.
Historically, companies with P/E ratios above their average tend to revert to the mean. However, TSMC's sustained high growth rate has coincided with its elevated valuation periods. The period between late 2020 and 2021 offers a parallel, where TSMC's stock also traded at a premium.
The management forecasts that chip demand will remain strong from 2029 to 2030.
TSMC Chairman C.C. Wei recently projected robust chip demand extending to 2029-2030, indicating substantial growth potential in the coming years. This outlook supports the argument that the current high stock price is reasonable, especially considering the ongoing artificial intelligence boom.
The AI industry is still in its early stages and may require continuous investment to update old hardware and expand.
Concerns about the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry and the sustainability of AI-driven demand are present. Wei addressed these by highlighting the nascent stage of the AI industry and the continuous investment required for hardware upgrades and expansion. This ongoing investment, he suggested, could foster a sustainable business model, solidifying TSMC's recent achievements.
Ultimately, TSMC is presented as a compelling investment, particularly as an AI concept stock. Its current pricing is deemed reasonable given its growth prospects, with significant expansion anticipated in the near future.
In terms of its growth potential, the stock is currently reasonably priced and still has strong growth potential in the coming years.
Originally published by Liberty Times in Chinese. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.