Israel beats enemies on multiple fronts but risks diplomatic setbacks - analysis

Israel has significantly altered its strategic posture, shifting from a defensive stance to one unafraid of direct confrontation with its adversaries, including Iran, Hamas, Hezbollah, and Syria. This new approach has led to the establishment of security zones across multiple fronts and a willingness to engage adversaries forcefully. However, this military assertiveness has come at the cost of diplomatic strength and international legitimacy, which have reportedly reached lows not seen since the 1970s.

The conflict with Iran has evolved into direct, recurring confrontations, a departure from previous years. While Iranian ballistic missiles pose a greater threat than Hamas rockets, Israel's ability to directly target Iran is seen as an advantage. This direct engagement holds Iran accountable, unlike past scenarios where Iran remained largely unaffected by Israel's conflicts with Hamas. Israel now demonstrates it can strike Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs, regardless of any agreements, fundamentally changing the dynamic between the two nations.

Despite military successes, Israel's legitimacy has diminished, particularly concerning the ongoing conflict in Gaza. The prolonged lack of rebuilding in Gaza, while hurting Hamas, also negatively impacts Israel. Jerusalem needs to achieve some level of disarmament from Hamas to facilitate rebuilding and reduce its security zone in Gaza. This diplomatic deficit, if unaddressed, could eventually undermine Israel's military strength, especially its crucial relationship with the United States.