Japan media: Xi's regime weakening due to water crisis, grain self-sufficiency claims false

A Japanese media report claims that Xi Jinping's regime is facing a quiet decline, primarily driven by a severe "water crisis." The report directly challenges the Chinese Communist Party's assertion of achieving 98% grain self-sufficiency, labeling it a "big lie."

The core of the issue lies in the water scarcity plaguing northern China, where the capital Beijing, the Party's central leadership, the People's Liberation Army headquarters, and major industrial clusters are concentrated. This region is critically vulnerable to water risks, according to commentator Bai Chuan-si in his new book, "What Exactly Is Xi Jinping Afraid Of?"

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The capital Beijing, the Party's central leadership, the People's Liberation Army headquarters, and the largest industrial clusters are all concentrated in northern China, and the north is facing water resource risks.

China's ambitious "South-to-North Water Diversion Project" aims to channel water from the Yangtze River in the south to the arid north. While the eastern and central routes are operational, the most challenging western route, crossing the Tibetan Plateau, remains uninitiated due to technical and environmental hurdles. Despite these efforts, projections indicate that by the end of 2025, shallow groundwater levels in North China could rise by 3.76 meters and deep groundwater levels by 7.65 meters compared to 2020. If accurate, this suggests over 70% of Beijing's tap water and nearly all of Tianjin's central water supply would depend on diverted southern water.

The report highlights the disproportionate distribution of water resources, with southern China holding about 81% of the nation's water despite comprising only 36.5% of its landmass. Northern regions, covering 63.5% of the land, receive only 19% of the water. This imbalance is particularly acute for agriculture, which consumes about 60% of total water usage, largely through unsustainable groundwater extraction in the North China Plain, a crucial grain-producing area. The official narrative of food security, focusing narrowly on rice, wheat, and corn, masks a declining self-sufficiency in other vital agricultural products like soybeans, barley, and sorghum, alongside a heavy reliance on imports for edible oils.

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The Chinese Communist Party's claim of '98% grain self-sufficiency' is purely a lie.