Lebanon's joy mixed with fear of civil war as Israel's withdrawal linked to Hezbollah disarmament

Amidst a complex geopolitical landscape, Lebanon is grappling with a palpable fear of civil war, a sentiment that mingles with the relief felt by many Lebanese regarding potential Israeli withdrawal. This withdrawal, however, is explicitly tied to the condition of Hezbollah's disarmament, a significant hurdle in achieving lasting peace.

Adding another layer to the intricate situation is a 14-point plan, recently unveiled by both Israel and Lebanon. This document, released on Friday, bears a resemblance to the memorandum exchanged between Iran and the United States two weeks prior. While the practical feasibility of such plans often raises considerable doubts, the "Trilateral Framework," as it is known, remains a weighty document.

Its significance lies in the declared intention of both Israel and Lebanon to formally end their decades-long state of war. However, the inclusion of a point solely dedicated to honoring U.S. President Donald Trump suggests a potential challenge in navigating the plan's implementation independently. The core issue remains: can Israel leave Lebanon if Hezbollah is not disarmed? The current proposals do not offer a clearer path forward, leaving many to question the plan's true potential for resolution.