Ohtani's path to fourth straight MVP blocked by PCA?
Translated from Korean and summarized by DistantNews. Read the original for the full story.
At a glance
- Shohei Ohtani faces a strong MVP challenge from Chicago Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (PCA), who excels in offense, defense, and baserunning.
- PCA leads the league in Wins Above Replacement (WAR) according to both Baseball-Reference and FanGraphs, surpassing Ohtani even with his pitching contributions.
- Ohtani's MVP bid is hampered by a lack of pitching due to injury, while Aaron Judge is out of contention due to his own injury.
Shohei Ohtani's pursuit of an unprecedented fourth consecutive MVP award faces a significant hurdle in the form of Chicago Cubs sensation Pete Crow-Armstrong, widely known as PCA. While Ohtani has been a dominant force in Major League Baseball, PCA has emerged as a leading candidate, particularly in the National League, by showcasing a rare combination of elite offense, defense, and baserunning.
PCA has a complete set of offense, defense, and baserunning, which modern baseball considers ideal for an outfielder.
PCA's rise has been meteoric. The young outfielder is challenging for a 40-homer, 40-stolen base season, currently standing at 33 home runs and 32 stolen bases. More impressively, he leads the league in Wins Above Replacement (WAR) according to both Baseball-Reference (bWAR) and FanGraphs (fWAR). This comprehensive metric, which measures a player's total contribution, places PCA ahead of Ohtani, even when Ohtani's pitching value is included.
PCA is currently running first overall in both bWAR and fWAR.
Ohtani's MVP campaign has been complicated by a left rib fatigue fracture that has sidelined him as a pitcher since July 4. While he has continued to perform as a hitter, achieving 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases in that span, his inability to contribute on the mound has diminished his unique two-way appeal, which was a significant factor in his previous MVP wins. If Ohtani were to complete a full pitching season, he might have held a stronger position against PCA.
If Ohtani had completed his pitching season as planned, he might have had an advantage over PCA in the MVP race.
Meanwhile, Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees, a previous MVP winner, is effectively out of the running due to a toe fracture. This leaves the MVP race open, with PCA emerging as a frontrunner. The American League MVP race is also heating up, with Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros being a top contender due to his league-leading batting average, home runs, and RBIs. However, Bobby Witt Jr. of the Kansas City Royals presents a strong case with his superior defense and baserunning, leading Alvarez in WAR.
WAR is just a reference index. A high WAR doesn't guarantee an MVP.
Originally published by Hankyoreh in Korean. Translated, summarized, and contextualized automatically by DistantNews, with a note on how the source frames the story. Not individually reviewed before publishing. How this works.