'Political suicide': Netanyahu will not allow a full withdrawal from Lebanon, officials estimate

Israeli officials estimate that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is unlikely to agree to a full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, even under intensifying U.S. pressure. They characterize such a move as "political suicide" for the prime minister, particularly given his previous portrayal of maintaining the security zone as a strategic success.

According to these officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity, Netanyahu faces considerable electoral pressures. Having presented the continued presence in Lebanon as a strategic accomplishment, he cannot afford to appear to be conceding under American-Iranian pressure. This assessment aligns with a perceived pattern of Netanyahu hardening his stance on one front when forced to concede on another.

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Such a withdrawal would be political suicide for Netanyahu.

Officials suggest that Netanyahu might be open to limited tactical steps, localized adjustments, or changes in troop deployment. However, a complete withdrawal is deemed politically unfeasible for him at this juncture. They argue that the IDF's presence in Lebanon continues to serve a purpose by clearing infrastructure, destroying facilities, and holding areas of strategic value to Hezbollah, including a significant underground compound.

Behind the U.S. insistence on withdrawal, Israeli officials believe, lies a broader American interest in regional calm, diplomatic gains, and economic projects. However, they acknowledge the ticking diplomatic clock, noting that the international community and Hezbollah will not accept a prolonged Israeli presence. The officials suggest that a full withdrawal, if it occurs, might happen later, possibly after elections, rather than as an immediate concession under pressure.

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Every additional day there is worth security.