Poll: Marine Le Pen leads France’s presidential race and wins in every runoff scenario
Translated from Spanish and summarized by DistantNews. Read the original for the full story.
At a glance
- Marine Le Pen draws between 34% and 35.5% in the first-round scenarios tested by Elabe.
- She leads Édouard Philippe, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal and Jean-Luc Mélenchon in all four simulated runoffs.
- The poll measures voting intentions eight months before the election and does not predict the final result.
Marine Le Pen leads every first-round configuration tested for France’s 2027 presidential election and defeats each rival in four simulated runoffs, according to an Elabe poll for BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche.
Le Pen’s first-round support ranges from 34% to 35.5%, depending on the candidates included. Édouard Philippe reaches as much as 20.5%, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon stands at about 14% and Raphaël Glucksmann reaches up to 14%. Gabriel Attal attracts around 12% in the scenarios where he appears.
The closest runoff is between Le Pen and Philippe. The National Rally leader receives 52.5% against 47.5% for the former prime minister. She leads Glucksmann and Attal by 57% to 43% in both matchups.
The widest gap comes against Mélenchon, with Le Pen at 69.5% and the leader of France Unbowed at 30.5%. The poll’s results reflect voting intentions when the survey was conducted and test alternative candidate lineups. They do not constitute a prediction of the election outcome.
Originally published by El Nacional in Spanish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized automatically by DistantNews, with a note on how the source frames the story. Not individually reviewed before publishing. How this works.