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Rubio holds advantage over Vance in matchups against Democratic presidential candidates - poll

From Jerusalem Post · () English

Summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

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  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio leads Vice President JD Vance in hypothetical matchups against potential Democratic presidential candidates in 2028, according to an Emerson College poll.
  • Rubio defeats Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by 48% to 43%, while Vance narrowly beats Ocasio-Cortez but loses to Harris.
  • California Governor Gavin Newsom performs better than both Rubio and Vance against these Democratic contenders, and the poll's margin of error suggests early results should be viewed cautiously.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio holds an advantage over Vice President JD Vance in hypothetical 2028 presidential election matchups against several potential Democratic candidates, an Emerson College poll released over the weekend indicates. Rubio consistently leads both former Vice President Kamala Harris and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by a margin of 48% to 43%.

Rubio defeats both former vice president Kamala Harris and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in hypothetical races by the same margin, 48% to 43%.

— Emerson College pollReporting the results of hypothetical matchups for Secretary of State Marco Rubio.

In contrast, Vice President Vance narrowly defeats Ocasio-Cortez with 46% to 44%, but trails Harris by four percentage points, receiving 44% to her 48%. California Governor Gavin Newsom demonstrates stronger performance against both leading Republicans, leading Vance 49% to 44% and Rubio 48% to 46%. Other Democrats, including former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff, also show leads over Rubio and Vance in hypothetical contests.

Vance, by comparison, narrowly defeats Ocasio-Cortez, 46% to 44%, but loses to Harris by four percentage points.

— Emerson College pollReporting the results of hypothetical matchups for Vice President JD Vance.

The poll's findings emerge amid ongoing speculation about who might succeed President Donald Trump as the Republican nominee. Rubio has previously stated he would not seek the nomination if Vance enters the race, while Vance plans to decide after the November midterm elections. Trump himself has made conflicting remarks to donors about endorsing Vance, calling him a potential successor while also suggesting Rubio and Vance could form a "dream team" ticket.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom performs better than both leading Republican figures in the poll, leading Vance 49% to 44% and Rubio 48% to 46%.

— Emerson College pollDetailing the performance of California Governor Gavin Newsom against Republican candidates.

Conducted from August 16-17 among 1,000 registered voters, the poll carries a margin of error of three percentage points. This margin means that some of the narrower leads, such as Newsom's advantage over Rubio, fall within the statistical uncertainty and should not be interpreted as definitive predictions for the 2028 election outcome.

ultimately, we need to choose JD

— Donald TrumpReported private remarks to donors regarding JD Vance's presidential prospects.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Jerusalem Post. Summarized and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.

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