Russia shows signs of weakness in Ukraine war, prompting intensified attacks

Russia's extensive drone and missile attacks on Ukraine, while displaying force, cannot conceal growing signs of Moscow's weakness in the four-year conflict. The frontline advance in Ukraine has nearly halted, and domestic recruitment is struggling, prompting increased conscription in occupied eastern regions.

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Ukraine’s position is much, much more formidable now than just a year ago.

Analysts observe that Russia's intensified strikes might be a strategic maneuver to bolster its position in potential peace negotiations or to re-engage a US administration perceived as more focused on the Iran conflict. Franz-Stefan Gady, a military analyst, noted that Ukraine's position is significantly stronger now than a year ago. While Russia's air power remains a threat, its overall combat performance is declining, fostering optimism that Ukraine can negotiate a ceasefire.

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for a long period

This situation marks a stark contrast to the previous summer, when Russian President Vladimir Putin appeared confident of victory. Now, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is the one pushing for a swift end to hostilities. Russia's chief spokesperson stated that the war could conclude if Ukraine withdraws from the Donbas region, though talks remain at a standstill. Despite the ongoing air assaults, Ukrainian forces are holding their ground, with some analysts reporting that Russia may have lost more territory in May than it gained.

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a growing optimism that Ukraine can fight Russia to a ceasefire