Six years after fueling conflict, Turkey repositions itself as a peace broker in Libya - analysis

Turkey is repositioning itself as a peace broker in Libya, a significant shift from its previous involvement in fueling the conflict. This change was highlighted by a recent meeting between Turkish Intelligence Chief Ibrahim Kalin and Lt. Gen. Saddam Haftar, deputy commander of the Libyan National Army (LNA), in Benghazi on June 23.

Just six years ago, in May 2020, Turkish media reported on Libyan forces retaking a key airbase, ending what they termed "Haftar’s coup plot." At that time, Turkey was actively backing the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) with drones, equipment, and advisors in its civil war against Khalifa Haftar's LNA. This support was instrumental in turning the tide of the conflict, including the GNA's recapture of the strategically important al-Watiyah airbase.

Critics may view this diplomatic overture as a mere facade for continued regional ambitions. However, the current approach suggests a strategic pivot where accommodation and dialogue are prioritized over military intervention. This shift aligns with Turkey's evolving regional strategy, which includes improving relations with Gulf states, preparing to host a NATO meeting, and seeking stability in Syria. The move also appears to dovetail with the approaches of Egypt and the United States.

This diplomatic effort reflects a broader change in Turkey's foreign policy under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Following successes in Syria and the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, Turkey seems to be recalibrating its engagement in the Eastern Mediterranean. The previous deal with the GNA, which bolstered Ankara's territorial claims, may now be balanced with a greater emphasis on regional stability and cooperation.