Spoiler alert: Israel poised to disrupt US-Iran peace deal

A temporary peace deal between the United States and Iran is slated for signing, but the path forward is fraught with uncertainty. Key issues, including the status of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program, remain unresolved and deferred for future negotiations. The success of these talks hinges on the flexibility of both parties and the vigilance of the international community.

However, the article identifies Israel as a significant potential spoiler. Tel Aviv has reacted negatively to the cessation of hostilities, having hoped for a more decisive US action against Iran. Reports suggest Israel intends to continue its occupation of Lebanese, Syrian, and Palestinian territories, actions that could rapidly unravel the peace process if carried out.

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Israel will be using all the poisoned arrows in its quiver to ensure the latter outcome.

Even within the US political establishment, where support for Israel is often strong, President Donald Trump has reportedly expressed displeasure with Israel's actions. He is said to have urged Israel to be more responsible in Lebanon and was angered by an attack on Beirut just before the peace deal's announcement. The article warns that Israel will employ all means to ensure the talks collapse, a tactic previously suggested by Pakistan's foreign minister.

The stakes are high: the accord's success could usher in a historic normalization between the US and Iran. Conversely, its failure could precipitate a confrontation more severe than recent conflicts, leading to global economic turmoil. The article concludes by cautioning the US against repeating the perceived mistake of going to war with Iran, urging a different approach this time.

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Mr Trump made the critical mistake of trusting the Israelis, and going to war with Iran. He must make sure that the error is not repeated.