Trump's threats put Oman's balancing act under growing pressure - analysis

Oman, long known for its quiet diplomacy and neutral stance in the Middle East, finds itself increasingly under pressure due to escalating regional tensions and direct threats from US President Donald Trump. The sultanate's strategic location on the southern side of the Strait of Hormuz places it at the heart of disputes between the US and Iran, forcing it to navigate a delicate balancing act.

Under Sultan Qaboos bin Said Al Said and now Sultan Haitham bin Tariq, Oman has consistently pursued a pragmatic foreign policy. It has maintained close security ties with the US and the UK while cultivating amicable relations with Iran. This approach enabled Oman to serve as a crucial mediator, notably facilitating the US-Iran talks that led to the 2015 nuclear agreement and hosting discussions on regional crises. The country also engaged with Israel, hosting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in 2018, advocating for dialogue to promote regional stability.

However, the recent US-led war on Iran has dramatically altered the regional security landscape. Trump's explicit threats to bomb Oman if it obstructs US policy regarding the Strait of Hormuz highlight the sultanate's precarious position. Despite these challenges, Oman appears unfazed, demonstrating its resolve to manage the changed environment. Its continued commitment to dialogue and mediation, even under duress, underscores its unique role in a volatile region.