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🇸🇪 Sweden /Elections & Politics

Turning point: Kristersson’s chances improve

From Svenska Dagbladet · () Swedish

Translated from Swedish and summarized by DistantNews. Read the original for the full story.

At a glance

News Documents & data Ongoing story
  • A new forecast says Sweden’s Social Democrats could record their worst election result ever.
  • Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s numbers have improved for the first time, narrowing the opposition’s lead.
  • The shift has reduced Magdalena Andersson’s previously estimated probability of winning from above 90 percent, although the article does not give a new figure.

For the first time since Svenska Dagbladet launched its “Who will win the election” forecast model before the summer, Ulf Kristersson’s prospects are showing signs of improvement.

The model had consistently given Magdalena Andersson a lead so large that it put her chances of winning above 90 percent. That picture had remained unchanged until the latest opinion polls.

The new surveys all indicate that the Tidö parties are closing the gap on the opposition. At the same time, the Social Democrats could be heading for their worst election result ever, according to the latest forecast.

The change is still limited, but one expert said it “opens up a small chance for him,” referring to Kristersson. The recent figures therefore point to a possible shift after a long period in which the model showed Andersson as the clear favorite.

It opens up a small chance for him.

· Unnamed expertThe expert described what the latest polling shift could mean for Ulf Kristersson’s election prospects.
About this summary

Originally published by Svenska Dagbladet in Swedish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized automatically by DistantNews, with a note on how the source frames the story. Not individually reviewed before publishing. How this works.

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