Typhoon Haishen path revealed; Taiwan to see hot weather with afternoon storms

Taiwan is bracing for hot and sunny conditions starting today, July 14, but residents are warned to prepare for potentially severe weather in the afternoons. The Central Weather Administration forecasts localized showers and thunderstorms in the south and southeast, with scattered showers elsewhere. The risk of intense convection, leading to thunderstorms, is particularly high in mountainous areas and may extend to plains.

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From today to next Monday, the lower atmosphere will be dominated by southerly winds and abundant moisture from the southern seas. Today and tomorrow, and from Thursday to next Monday, the southern region will occasionally experience localized short-term rainfall.

According to Wu Der-rong, an adjunct associate professor of atmospheric sciences at National Central University, the weather pattern from today until July 20 will feature a southerly wind and abundant moisture from the southern seas. This combination increases the likelihood of localized rainfall, especially in southern Taiwan on certain days. He emphasized that the atmosphere will remain unstable, contributing to the frequent development of afternoon thunderstorms.

Despite the potential for severe weather, the 11th typhoon of the season, 'Haishen,' is not expected to impact Taiwan. Weather models indicate that Haishen will likely remain weak and short-lived, with its projected path moving away from the island. Wu advised against assuming that all typhoons during a "super El Niño year" will strengthen into super typhoons, urging the public to rely on accurate forecasts.

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At the same time, due to the weak Pacific high pressure, the atmosphere will be unstable from today to next Monday. Afternoon thunderstorms often develop in the mountains and expand to some plains. Attention should be paid to the occurrence of lightning, strong winds, and sudden heavy rainfall.

Temperatures are expected to be hot before any rainfall occurs. Even into the following week, from July 21 to 23, while the southerly winds and moisture may decrease, the atmosphere is predicted to remain unstable, with afternoon convection developing in mountainous areas. Daytime temperatures will continue to be hot across the island.

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Don't misunderstand; not all typhoons during a 'super El Niño year' have the conditions to strengthen into a super typhoon.