Typhoon Sadler Could Persist for Five More Days as Expert Outlines Three Possible Paths

Typhoon Sadler has returned to strength, but its next move remains difficult to predict. Lin De'en, who holds a doctorate in atmospheric science from National Taiwan University, says forecasting models now point in three different directions.

One scenario, represented by Japan's Meteorological Agency, has Sadler circling and lingering in the southern Taiwan Strait, possibly making a return move toward Taiwan. Another, reflected in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model, sees the storm eventually making landfall again in China's Guangdong province.

A third forecast, represented by the AI GEFS model, sends Sadler eastward through the Bashi Channel. Lin says the sharply diverging predictions show that the environmental steering flow guiding the typhoon is not clearly defined, leaving substantial uncertainty over its future track.

Despite the uncertainty, the forecasts broadly agree on one point: Sadler could maintain its strength for another three to five days. For southern Taiwan, Lin says rainfall is not expected to ease until the broad low-pressure belt moves away from the island. He gives Sept. 6 onward as the period when conditions may begin to improve.

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