Ukraine and EU start accession talks, but we are at least 10 years away

Ukraine and the European Union have officially commenced accession negotiations, with the first chapter of the process opening at a conference in Luxembourg. This symbolic start signifies a crucial step in Ukraine's long journey toward potential EU membership.

However, the path ahead is fraught with challenges and is expected to be protracted. Ukraine, like all candidate countries, must transpose tens of thousands of pages of EU legislation into its national law. The initial chapter focuses on fundamental areas such as building a rule of law, combating corruption, and establishing a financially sound state with a solid public structure. Moldova is undertaking similar steps, having also received candidate status in June 2022.

Experts estimate the entire process could take up to a decade. Each chapter must be successfully concluded before the next can open, and upon completion of all chapters, the accession treaty requires ratification by the parliaments of all EU member states. This lengthy procedure underscores the complexity and commitment required from both sides.

While the EU acknowledges Ukraine's rightful place within the Union, it also recognizes the difficulties of rapid integration. The ongoing war with Russia presents significant obstacles, alongside persistent issues with corruption and the need for an independent judiciary in Ukraine. Simultaneously, the EU faces the internal challenge of adapting its own structures and policies, such as agricultural subsidies, to accommodate a country as large as Ukraine without destabilizing the bloc. Concerns also linger about potential obstructionism from member states, reminiscent of past challenges.