US and Iran Claim Victory in Peace Deal; Netanyahu Seen as Biggest Loser

A memorandum signed in Islamabad between the United States and Iran signals a significant step toward peace, prompting analysts to dissect the implications for the involved nations. The agreement is particularly viewed as a political victory for U.S. President Trump, who faced pressure from an escalating conflict ahead of the midterm elections.

Trump celebrated the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and assurances that Tehran would not acquire nuclear weapons. However, the situation remains complex, as Iran's nuclear program was not dismantled and will be a focal point of discussions over the next 60 days. The Washington Post noted that Trump's celebration reflects the restoration of the situation prior to the U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran.

Despite facing casualties and damage to military infrastructure, many analysts believe the Iranian regime emerges from the conflict strengthened. Tehran has secured crucial diplomatic openings, including potential sanctions relief and the unfreezing of assets. Iran also maintains its missile arsenal and enriched uranium reserves. The memorandum's signing, however, has caused internal political turmoil, with fundamentalists criticizing the deal and creating a potential rift within the regime.

“

E "con il regime ancora in piedi, quello che il presidente ha celebrato è il ripristino della situazione del 27 febbraio, il giorno prima dell'attacco di Israele e Stati Uniti all'Iran", ha sintetizzato il Washington Post.

For Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, the memorandum represents a clear defeat. He played a central role in initiating the military campaign against Iran and attempted to derail the agreement, including through bombings in Beirut. The deal mandates a ceasefire in Lebanon, constraining the Israeli Defense Forces' operations against Hezbollah. This de-escalation bolsters the Iranian regime and its regional ties, pushing Israel into a more isolated geopolitical position.

Pakistan and Qatar are credited with a diplomatic success for their mediation efforts throughout the conflict, facilitating communication and bridging differences between Washington and Tehran. Meanwhile, Europe's limited role in the negotiations has drawn criticism from Trump. The agreement also includes a coalition for Hormuz, though Europe's specific contribution remains unclear.

“

Buona parte degli analisti sembra concordare sul fatto che il regime degli ayatollah esca rafforzato dalla guerra, nonostante i vertici decimati e i danni alle infrastrutture militari.