US has 33% World Cup chance, says ESPN analysis citing NASA
Translated from Hungarian, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- An ESPN article uses complex statistics, including a reference to NASA, to suggest the US has a 33% chance of winning the World Cup.
- The analysis excludes Argentina by noting the top-ranked FIFA team has never won the World Cup.
- Portugal's chances are dismissed due to Cristiano Ronaldo's age, as no player over 41 has won the tournament.
An ESPN analysis, referencing a former NASA scientist, suggests the U.S. has a 33% chance of winning the World Cup. The article employs intricate statistical arguments, with one notable example being the exclusion of Lionel Messi's Argentina from contention. This is based on the observation that the current FIFA world ranking leader has never secured a World Cup title.
The analysis also casts doubt on Portugal's prospects, citing Cristiano Ronaldo's age. According to the article's statistics, no player who is 41 or older at the time of the tournament has ever won the World Cup.
While the article uses complex statistics, it also includes less convoluted metrics. The inclusion of Christian Pulisic is presented as a key factor for the U.S. team, though the article's methodology appears to be a significant point of discussion, particularly the reliance on such elaborate statistical models.
Originally published by Magyar Nemzet in Hungarian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.