Vannacci Grows Among Lower Incomes. 55% of His Voters Support the Government

Roberto Vannacci's political movement, Futuro Nazionale (FNV), is experiencing a notable surge in popularity, with recent polls indicating it has overtaken the Lega party. FNV is now polling at 6%, exceeding the Lega's 5.6%. This growth prompts an examination of FNV's voter base and its potential to reshape the political landscape.

Analysis of approximately 20,000 interviews conducted between February and June reveals that FNV's electorate is predominantly drawn from the right, accounting for about 56% of its support. An additional 22% identify with the center-right. Notably, FNV is attracting voters from established parties, with over 20% of those who previously voted for Lega now considering FNV. Around 8% of Fratelli d'Italia voters are also shifting towards Vannacci's movement, a figure that has been increasing.

Furthermore, FNV is drawing support from individuals who abstained from voting in the European elections, with over a third of its current voters being former non-voters. While FNV garners minimal support from other parties like Noi Moderati, M5S, and Azione/Italia Viva, the data highlights a significant shift in voter allegiances. The movement's appeal to former Lega voters was immediate, whereas its influence on Fratelli d'Italia voters has shown a progressive increase, growing from under 200,000 voters three months ago to over 506,000 currently.