World Cup 2026 Predictions: England Faces Tough Test Against Croatia, Defense Under Scrutiny

England enters the 2026 World Cup as a strong contender, seeking to claim the title for the first time in 60 years, since their home victory in 1966. Despite reaching the finals of the last two European Championships, they have fallen short of securing a major trophy.

Coach Thomas Tuchel has emphasized defensive solidity and discipline, a strategy that saw the team achieve a perfect record in the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, including keeping clean sheets in all eight matches. However, recent friendly performances have raised concerns. Losses to Japan and draws against Uruguay in March and April exposed tactical and personnel issues, suggesting vulnerabilities in their defense.

Croatia, while having a squad with players nearing the end of their careers, remains a dangerous opponent. Led by the veteran Luka Modric, who is reportedly ready to play despite being 40 years old, and supported by the 37-year-old Ivan Perisic, the team possesses significant experience and quality. Their ability to compete at the highest level is undeniable, as demonstrated by their undefeated run in the World Cup 2024 qualifiers.

Experts and bookmakers favor England in this opening match, with odds reflecting their status as favorites. However, the historical encounters between England and Croatia suggest a closely contested game. Sportmole predicts a 46.85% chance of victory for England, while Sportytrader gives them a slightly higher 52.85% probability. Croatia is given a 29.85% and 29.49% chance of winning, respectively.

Both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups, though England might have concerns about Bukayo Saka's fitness. The match is anticipated to be a tight affair, with predictions suggesting a narrow 1-0 lead for England at halftime and a final score of 2-1 in their favor. The game is expected to be a tactical battle, with neither side likely to dominate.