Analysis: Iran Appears to Be Winning Protracted War Against U.S. and Israel

A conflict initially launched by the U.S. and Israel against Iran on February 28 has evolved into a protracted struggle, with Iran now appearing to gain the upper hand, according to a historical analysis by Erik Plakso, a history student at the University of Tartu.

What began as a joint offensive by the U.S. and Israel has become a prolonged engagement. Despite an initial successful push, the war has since become mired in ongoing air and sea battles. Multiple rounds of negotiations aimed at de-escalation have consistently failed, leading to the resumption and extension of hostilities, particularly since July 9.

Despite the pressures of sustained warfare, Iran has successfully cultivated an international perception of maintaining the initiative in the conflict. This narrative suggests that, contrary to expectations, Iran is navigating the wartime challenges effectively and projecting strength on the global stage.

The analysis highlights a significant shift in the conflict's dynamic, where Iran's ability to project an image of control and initiative contrasts with the reality of ongoing, difficult fighting. The situation underscores the complex and evolving nature of the geopolitical confrontation.