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Analysts: Putin will wage war until death, but Russia is faltering
🇱🇹 Lithuania /Conflict & Security

Analysts: Putin will wage war until death, but Russia is faltering

From Delfi · () Lithuanian

Translated from Lithuanian, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

News Named sources Context piece
  • Military analysts believe Putin will continue the war until his death, but Russia is struggling to achieve its goals.
  • Ukraine's drone attacks are inflicting significant damage on Russian forces and its oil industry.
  • The war has reached a turning point, with Ukraine regaining initiative in some areas, though the ultimate direction remains uncertain.

Military analysts suggest that Russian President Vladimir Putin is prepared for a protracted war of attrition and intends to continue fighting until his death, viewing the conflict as a lifelong endeavor. However, Russia is reportedly facing mounting challenges, with its military achieving fewer gains on the front lines and experiencing losses that exceed the number of newly recruited soldiers.

The situation has shifted significantly, with Ukraine's drone attacks inflicting substantial damage on both Russian military assets and its crucial oil industry. This development has led the Kremlin to realize that time is no longer on its side. Analysts note that Ukraine is gradually regaining the initiative, challenging Russian forces in areas where they are perceived as weaker. The war has reached a critical juncture, though the eventual outcome remains unclear.

Ukraine is gradually regaining the initiative and challenging the Russians in those areas where they are weaker.

— Konrad MuzykaFounder of a Polish military analysis company, commenting on the shifting dynamics of the war.

This evolving dynamic is reflected in how the conflict is perceived in Moscow, Kyiv, and Washington. According to "The Wall Street Journal," U.S. President Donald Trump has been impressed by Ukraine's ingenuity in drone warfare, a sentiment reportedly influenced by regular intelligence briefings on Ukraine's offensive capabilities. This positive impression may explain Trump's more favorable discourse on Ukraine compared to the previous year.

Within Russia, signs of exhaustion are becoming apparent. Military analysts acknowledge unexpected problems that have emerged since the full-scale invasion began in early 2022. These include a slowing pace of offensives, strengthening Ukrainian counteroffensives, and evident signs of exhaustion within the Russian military. Conversely, Ukraine is increasingly confident in its ability to withstand the war, preserve its independence, and resist Putin's attempts at subjugation, although the prolonged conflict is far from over.

Putin is prepared for a long war of attrition... this war has become the matter of his entire life, and he will continue it until he is alive.

— Moscow analystDescribing Putin's perceived commitment to the conflict.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Delfi in Lithuanian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.

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