AtlasIntel: Omar Aziz leads Maria do Carmo in first-round Amazonas Senate race, 33% to 29%

Omar Aziz leads Maria do Carmo in the first-round race for a Senate seat in Amazonas, according to an AtlasIntel poll released on September 4. The senator from the PSD has 33.2% of voting intentions, compared with 29.2% for the businesswoman and PL candidate.

Roberto Cidade, of União Brasil, follows with 20.1%. David Almeida has 9.3%, Cabo Daciolo 6.7%, Isael Munduruku 1.3% and Gilberto Vasconcelos 0.1%. The poll’s margin of error is three percentage points, up or down.

The result marks a change from AtlasIntel’s May survey, when Maria do Carmo led the first-round scenario with 38.4%, against 27.5% for Aziz. In a possible second round, however, she remains ahead, with 53.3% compared with 46.7% for the PSD senator.

The presidential race in Amazonas is technically tied. Flávio Bolsonaro has 41.3% and Lula 39.2%. Augusto Cury records 10%, followed by Renan Santos with 5.8%, Ronaldo Caiado with 1.6%, Zema with 0.5% and Samara with 0.4%.

In a projected runoff, Bolsonaro leads Lula 48% to 41.3%, with 10.7% unsure or not responding. Lula and Caiado are virtually tied, at 40.6% and 40.8%, respectively. Lula leads Zema 41.8% to 39.9%, and Renan Santos 41.3% to 33%. The survey interviewed 1,200 voters between August 29 and September 3.