Could Putin, Trump visits pave the way for ‘trilateral coordination’ with China?

The recent sequence of high-profile state visits by U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin to China has ignited discussions about a potential shift in global dynamics, with experts suggesting the possibility of emerging "trilateral coordination" among the three major powers. This development is particularly noteworthy given the delicate balance of international relations and the ongoing reordering of the global landscape.

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Both countries should step up strategic coordination to counter 'jungle law' in the global order.

Cui Hongjian, head of European studies at Beijing Foreign Studies University and a former diplomat, posits that these visits, occurring in close succession, could lay the groundwork for a new era of strategic alignment. The timing is significant, as it follows Beijing's agreement with Washington to foster a "constructive relationship of strategic stability," indicating a desire for managed competition and dialogue.

During his meeting with President Putin, Chinese President Xi Jinping stressed the importance of enhanced strategic coordination between China and Russia. Both leaders expressed a shared concern about the prevailing "jungle law" in the international order, signaling a mutual desire to counter what they perceive as unilateralism and a disregard for international norms. This shared perspective between Beijing and Moscow could become a cornerstone of their trilateral engagement, should it materialize.

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The US would remain the biggest uncertainty.

However, Cui Hongjian also identifies the United States as the "biggest uncertainty" in this evolving geopolitical equation. While the U.S. has expressed a desire for a stable relationship with China, its foreign policy under the Trump administration has been characterized by unpredictability. The potential for "trilateral coordination" hinges significantly on Washington's willingness and ability to engage constructively with both Beijing and Moscow, navigating complex geopolitical currents and fostering a more stable global order.

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Beijing and Washington agreed to pursue a 'constructive relationship of strategic stability'.