Datafolha: 47% Say They Would Never Vote for Flávio Bolsonaro, 45% for Lula

Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva lead Brazil’s presidential rejection rankings as well as the race for the presidency, according to a new Datafolha poll. Forty-seven percent of voters said they would not vote for Flávio under any circumstances, while 45% said the same about Lula.

Augusto Cury registered 9% rejection, followed by Romeu Zema at 16%, Renan Santos at 15% and Ronaldo Caiado at 13%. Samara Martins and Rui Costa Pimenta each recorded 9%, Edmilson Costa and Clariana Barão 8%, Hertz Dias 7% and Wilson Grassi 6%. One percent rejected every candidate, another 1% rejected none, and 3% said they did not know.

Datafolha interviewed 2,002 people aged over 16 in 125 cities on Tuesday and Wednesday. The poll, commissioned by TV Globo and Folha and registered with Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court under code BR-03669/2026, has a margin of error of two percentage points in either direction.

Two weeks earlier, Flávio’s rejection stood at 46% and Lula’s at 45%. Cury’s figure rose from 8% as a campaign to promote his name on social media increased his Instagram following by 2.5 million. He has only 35 seconds per block in the free broadcast election period. His campaign denies that influencers were paid or that bots were used, as opponents allege.

The figures reinforce the image of an election dominated by rejection. They leave a narrow contest for undecided voters between Lula and Flávio, while raising questions about how much room Cury and other candidates have to grow. Campaign strategists generally view rejection above 40% as potentially fatal, particularly if it coincides with weak vote intentions in a second round. If Lula and Flávio reach the runoff, their near-tie in rejection would force both to compete for swing voters.