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Fedorov warns Ukraine has only months to change war's course
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania /Conflict & Security

Fedorov warns Ukraine has only months to change war's course

From Delfi · () Lithuanian

Translated from Lithuanian, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

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  • Former Ukrainian official Mykhailo Fedorov warns Kyiv has only months to make crucial decisions to alter the war's course.
  • Fedorov cites a lack of a unified vision for victory, slow innovation, and deep-rooted corruption as hindrances.
  • He stresses the urgent need for a plan to end the war, despite official Kyiv's more optimistic rhetoric.

Mykhailo Fedorov, a former Ukrainian official, has issued a stark warning that Kyiv has only a few months to make critical decisions that could shift the war's trajectory in Ukraine's favor. Fedorov, whose dismissal last month sparked protests, stated that Ukraine lacks a cohesive vision for winning the four-year conflict and that progress is hampered by a failure to innovate quickly enough.

I think now is a turning point that will determine our future trajectory, but it seems we are slowly, slowly losing.

โ€” M. FedorovExpressing concern about the current state of the war and the need for decisive action.

He also pointed to deeply entrenched corruption, cronyism, and a lack of political independence within state institutions as significant obstacles. "I think now is a turning point that will determine our future trajectory, but it seems we are slowly, slowly losing," Fedorov said, diverging significantly from official Kyiv rhetoric. He believes Ukraine still has "every chance" to win but urgently requires a plan to conclude the war.

every chance

โ€” M. FedorovReferring to Ukraine's potential to win the war if a proper plan is implemented.

In response to Fedorov's comments, the Ukrainian president's office stated that he had viewed the war's progress positively while working in the ministry, implying his current perspective might be influenced by his changed personal status. Meanwhile, Russia continues its slow advance in Donbas, with Ukraine facing dwindling supplies of interceptor missiles needed to counter Russian ballistic missile strikes on factories and warehouses.

Technologies already exist that could completely stop the Russians, but due to a lack of vision, we are not using them.

โ€” M. FedorovHighlighting the gap between available technology and its strategic deployment.

Fedorov emphasized the importance of autonomous, AI-driven drones, affordable interceptors for Russian air attacks, and Ukraine's own ballistic missile program. He explained that existing technologies could detect the enemy and reduce the need for soldiers on the front lines, but a lack of vision prevents their effective deployment. "Technologies already exist that could completely stop the Russians, but due to a lack of vision, we are not using them," Fedorov stated, criticizing Ukraine's underutilization of its potential and state inefficiency, which he estimates operates at only "5 percent efficiency."

5 percent efficiency

โ€” M. FedorovDescribing the perceived inefficiency of Ukraine's state operations.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Delfi in Lithuanian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.