Finland's foreign policy needs initiative amid global shifts

Finland's foreign policy is at a crossroads, with an upcoming ambassadorial meeting poised to define the nation's direction amidst a turbulent global landscape. President Alexander Stubb and other political leaders are expected to articulate Finland's aspirations in an unsettled world.

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The world is in turmoil, and Finland is also seeking a new position.

The summer has been marked by crises from Iran to Gaza and Ukraine, alongside a shifting focus from the United States. While NATO has projected unity, the U.S. is testing European allies' commitment through defense spending and public support for President Trump's policies. Finnish politicians have offered little new substance in their summer interviews, lacking concrete initiatives for the country's foreign policy goals.

This inertia is concerning as the world order is in flux, and Finland is seeking its new position. A potential disconnect exists between Stubb's ambitious speeches and the cautious actions of Prime Minister Petteri Orpo's government, which could erode Finland's foreign policy credibility. The focus has shifted from the U.S. and NATO to the evolving European defense landscape and the uncertainty of "like-minded" alliances.

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The credibility of Finland's foreign and security policy is being eroded by the contradiction between Stubb's otherwise skillful speeches and the cautious actions of Prime Minister Petteri Orpo's government.

Finland is actively pursuing a non-permanent seat on the UN Security Council for 2029-2030. This campaign, spearheaded by Stubb, includes proposals for Security Council reform, such as adding permanent members. However, a familiar challenge persists: the president's vision often outpaces the nation's practical implementation. The race for the seat appears less competitive, with Finland and Australia as the only declared candidates for two positions, though a two-thirds majority is still required.

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The UN Security Council seat would still bring Finland into the inner circle of world politics for two years, alongside the United States, China, and Russia.

A crucial measure of Finland's campaign credibility lies in its approach to Palestine. While not the sole focus of its foreign policy, Finland's consistent stance on the two-state solution is being tested as major powers adopt more arbitrary approaches. Maintaining consistency is vital for Finland's international capital as it navigates these complex geopolitical waters.

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One measure of the credibility of Finland's campaign is Palestine, although Finland's relationship with it should not be reduced to the Security Council campaign.