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Flávio Bolsonaro again closes the distance with Lula, according to a poll

Flávio Bolsonaro again closes the distance with Lula, according to a poll

From El Deber · () Spanish

Translated from Spanish, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

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  • Brazilian presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro has narrowed the gap in voter intention against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva two months before the election.
  • A new poll shows Bolsonaro trailing Lula by 5 percentage points in a potential second-round runoff, an improvement from previous surveys.
  • Bolsonaro faces challenges in securing allied parties for his candidacy and recently reconciled with his stepmother, Michelle Bolsonaro.

Brazilian presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro has significantly closed the gap in voter intention against incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, with the election just two months away. A recent poll conducted by the Genial/Quaest center indicates that Bolsonaro would secure 39% of the vote compared to Lula's 44% in a hypothetical second-round runoff.

the senator registered 37% of the voting intentions and the current president, 45%

— Genial/Quaest pollComparing the current poll results to a previous survey from July.

This scenario represents a slight improvement for the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, compared to a July survey by the same polling firm, which showed the right-wing senator with 37% and Lula with 45%. In the first round of the election, Lula is projected to receive 39% of the vote, while Bolsonaro garners 30%, with several other right-wing candidates trailing behind.

Lula's government approval rating remains stable at 36%, with an equal percentage disapproving and 26% considering it regular. Bolsonaro's resurgence in voter intention appears to coincide with a decrease in media attention regarding his alleged ties to Daniel Vorcaro, a banker currently imprisoned for fraud. Previously, 'The Intercept' published messages suggesting Bolsonaro had requested a substantial sum from Vorcaro to fund a film about his father.

he asked Vorcaro for a millionaire sum to finance a film about Jair Bolsonaro

— The InterceptReporting on messages allegedly exchanged between Flávio Bolsonaro and a banker imprisoned for fraud.

Additionally, Bolsonaro recently reconciled with his stepmother, former First Lady Michelle Bolsonaro, who had previously accused him of humiliation and disrespect. He issued an apology in a video, which she accepted, publicly stating her support for his candidacy after a period of calculated ambiguity. Despite these developments, Bolsonaro faces difficulties in finding allied parties willing to join his campaign and nominate a vice-presidential candidate, with three political formations recently declaring neutrality, leaving him largely reliant on the support of the far-right Liberal Party (PL).

humiliate her and disrespect her

— Michelle BolsonaroHer previous accusations against Flávio Bolsonaro.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by El Deber in Spanish. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.