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German historian urges a closer look behind speculation about Russia
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania /Conflict & Security

German historian urges a closer look behind speculation about Russia

From Delfi · () Lithuanian

Translated from Lithuanian and summarized by DistantNews. Read the original for the full story.

At a glance

Interview Named sources Context piece
  • German historian Matthias Uhl says Russia lacks the resources to launch a major operation against NATO involving entire divisions or an army.
  • Uhl calls smaller attack scenarios, such as a possible operation in Estoniaโ€™s Narva, theoretical, while stressing that the security situation remains dangerous.
  • In a new book, he argues that Russia has overstated its military strength and does not possess the โ€œmiracle weaponsโ€ often promoted by Kremlin propaganda.

German historian Matthias Uhl says fears of Russia launching a large-scale military operation against NATO are overstated because Moscow lacks the necessary resources.

There is no need to fear that Russia will try to launch a major military operation against NATO, involving entire divisions or even the entire army. Russia lacks the resources for that.

โ€” Matthias UhlHe assessed the likelihood of a large Russian operation against NATO.

Uhl makes the assessment in his new book, โ€œHow Strong Is Russia Really? The Truth About Putinโ€™s Military Power,โ€ which examines Russiaโ€™s military policy and the state of its armed forces using numerous Russian sources. The book portrays a country that seriously overestimated its strength in the war against Ukraine.

Asked by Die Welt how justified recent fears were, Uhl gave a clear answer: โ€œThere is no need to fear that Russia will try to launch a major military operation against NATO, involving entire divisions or even the entire army. Russia lacks the resources for that.โ€ He described scenarios involving smaller operations, such as a move against the Estonian city of Narva, as theoretical discussions.

NATO would not abandon Estonia. And Russia knows that.

โ€” Matthias UhlHe rejected speculation that Estonia would be left without alliance support.

Uhl said NATO would not abandon Estonia and that Russia understands this. He also acknowledged that the current situation is highly dangerous, while pointing to the gradual expansion of NATO structures in the Baltic states and efforts to show regional partners that the alliance is prepared to defend them.

We must look behind the scenes.

โ€” Matthias UhlHe urged Western audiences not to amplify Russian propaganda.

He said NATO already has units ready to respond, even if they are not directly stationed in the Baltic states. Germanyโ€™s KSK special forces could be sent there as a signal of readiness, he said. Uhl urged Western countries not to follow a program imposed by Russian propaganda or repeat Kremlin fears. โ€œWe must look behind the scenes,โ€ he told t-online, arguing that Russia has repeatedly presented itself as stronger and more powerful than it is. He also questioned the image of weapons such as the Kinzhal missile and the T-14 Armata tank as revolutionary systems.

Putin does not have the โ€˜miracle weaponsโ€™ with which the Russian army could defeat us.

โ€” Matthias UhlHe challenged claims about Russiaโ€™s advanced weapons systems.
About this summary

Originally published by Delfi in Lithuanian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized automatically by DistantNews, with a note on how the source frames the story. Not individually reviewed before publishing. How this works.