Government Would Fall If Iceland Held Elections Now, Gallup Poll Finds

Iceland’s government would lose power if elections were held now, according to a new Gallup poll reported by Iceland’s national broadcaster.

The Social Democratic Alliance gained 1.7 percentage points from the previous month and remains the country’s largest political party, with support just below 30%. Viðreisn lost nearly two percentage points and now stands at 9.7%, its lowest level in two years.

The poll offers little indication of how voters may have been affected by the weekend’s results, because researchers conducted it from Aug. 4 through the end of the month.

The two largest parties campaigning for a negative outcome in the European Union issue, the Independence Party and the Centre Party, each gained about one percentage point. The Independence Party has 27% support, making it the second-largest party, while the Centre Party is third with almost 16%.

The Progressive Party slipped slightly to 5.5%. The People’s Party registered 4.8%, the Left-Green Movement 3.6% and the Socialists 2.4%. The Left-Greens and Socialists would not win parliamentary seats, while the People’s Party faces uncertainty over whether it would secure even one.

Support for the government stands at 50%, down from 69% at the beginning of the term. The Social Democratic Alliance and Viðreisn would win 29 seats between them, while the People’s Party would probably leave parliament. A minimum of 32 seats is needed for a parliamentary majority.