Gulf states uneasy about US-Iran deal, fearing strengthened Tehran

The United Arab Emirates, like other Gulf monarchies, is grappling with the fallout from a US-Iran deal that has left them feeling anxious and angered. Many had privately or openly hoped for a regime change in Tehran. Now, they face the prospect of having to accommodate Iran's current leadership and prepare for an uncertain future.

Following unprovoked attacks by Iran on the Emirates in March, which involved drones and missiles, the region experienced significant disruption. These attacks extended to Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and even Qatar, damaging American bases, military airfields, and oil pipelines. The conflict, though officially declared over despite recent skirmishes, has left the Gulf states reeling.

The recently brokered 14-point plan in Switzerland, intended to normalize relations between Washington and Tehran, has not met the expectations of the Gulf monarchies. Instead of de-escalation, the agreement appears to empower Iran. Reports suggest Iran not only attacked its neighbors with impunity but also aims to maintain control over the vital Strait of Hormuz, potentially imposing transit fees. This development is particularly concerning for the Gulf states, for whom the strait is crucial for their economic survival.