India's sugar export halt sparks concern among Arab importers
Translated from French, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- India's decision to halt sugar exports until September has raised concerns among major Arab importers, including the UAE, Algeria, and Saudi Arabia.
- Global sugar markets are already strained by geopolitical tensions, volatile energy prices, and climate-related disruptions, increasing fears of a widespread shortage.
- Despite efforts by Brazil and Thailand to fill the gap, the suspension exacerbates supply chain issues, potentially leading to a new global sugar crisis.
India's abrupt decision to suspend sugar exports until the end of September has sent ripples of concern through the global market, particularly impacting major Arab importers. This move, combined with existing geopolitical instability, fluctuating energy costs, and climate challenges, is fueling fears of a significant global shortage.
India, the second largest producer in the world, has decided to freeze its exports until the end of September.
The international sugar market, already fragile, faces further disruption from India's decision. As the world's second-largest sugar producer, India's export freeze exacerbates existing supply chain vulnerabilities. This comes at a time when rising fertilizer and shipping costs are already contributing to global inflation, intensifying worries about scarcity.
While Brazil and Thailand are attempting to compensate for the shortfall, the scale of India's export halt poses a substantial challenge. The Arab region appears particularly exposed, with the UAE, Algeria, and Saudi Arabia identified as the largest importers for the 2024/2025 season, according to a December 2025 report by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).
The Arab world seems to be on the front lines of this supply shock.
Import volumes for these nations are projected to increase or remain high. The UAE's imports are expected to reach 2.29 million tons in 2025/2026, while Algeria anticipates importing 2.25 million tons. Saudi Arabia's imports, though projected to slightly decrease to 2.055 million tons in 2025/2026, remain substantial. Other regional players like Morocco are also seeing increased import demands.
The volume of imports for the United Arab Emirates has climbed to 2.271 million tons in 2024/2025.
Conversely, Egypt's import figures show a significant decline, falling from 1.96 million tons in the previous year to an expected 1.06 million tons in 2025/2026. Iran, however, maintains high import levels, with projections indicating a substantial increase to 1.3 million tons for the 2025/2026 season. The situation raises critical questions about global food security and the potential for a renewed sugar crisis.
Algeria follows closely with 2.245 million tons imported in 2024/2025.
Originally published by La Presse in French. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.