Iran Prepares for 'Bigger War,' Considers Kuwait Invasion and Cable Cuts

Iran's hardliners have been actively preparing for a potential escalation of conflict with the United States, utilizing a two-month lull following a preliminary agreement to strategize for a "bigger war." This period has seen a consolidation of power within the Revolutionary Guard and the appointment of figures known for their hardline stances to influential positions.

According to reports, Iranian hardliners believe the U.S. preliminary agreement is a tactic to open the Strait of Hormuz, boost oil prices, and gain time for further military preparations. In response, they have focused on strengthening domestic counter-intelligence and accelerating missile and drone production. Intelligence from Arab nations indicates that Iran has been communicating with allied militias in Yemen, Iraq, and Lebanon to coordinate expansion plans.

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The government has made difficult decisions and is preparing to act, so Iran's institutions must prepare for heightened tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the wider region.

The Revolutionary Guard has dispatched military advisors to these allied groups, providing them with guidance on expansion strategies. Specifically, they have been overseeing the deployment of missiles and drones near the Red Sea for the Houthi rebels and supplying target lists for attacks on Saudi Arabian ports and energy facilities.

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If the U.S. does not implement all clauses of the memorandum of understanding within weeks, Iran will carry out a 'timely and precise' military strike to break the U.S. naval blockade.

These strategic shifts have begun to manifest in recent actions, including attacks on civilian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. Furthermore, Iran has made significant leadership changes, appointing former Revolutionary Guard commander Mohsen Rezaei to head the Supreme National Security Council and Ahmad Vahidi as the new commander of the Revolutionary Guard.

Looking ahead, Iran's Revolutionary Guard has outlined potential escalation options, including severing undersea internet cables in the Persian Gulf and instigating unrest among Shia populations in Kuwait and Bahrain, with a ground invasion of Kuwait also under consideration. With the 60-day preliminary agreement deadline having passed without a final resolution, the possibility of a full-scale offensive by Iran looms if diplomatic efforts fail.

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War is the default for the Iranian regime. Iran maintains a wartime posture and will prepare for future attacks.