Lull in fighting: US halts Iran strikes amid rising costs and diplomatic hopes

After two weeks of escalating violence, the United States has halted its strikes on Iran, and Tehran has also ceased its military actions. This pause in hostilities may stem from the mounting practical costs of continuing the conflict, alongside diplomatic efforts by regional states, including Pakistan, to encourage dialogue. The cessation of conflict in the Gulf is a welcome development, with hopes that the dialogue process can be revived to establish a more permanent peace in the region.

America's ambassador to the UN stated that President Donald Trump desired to give "talks some space." However, reports in the US media, denied by Trump, suggest that the US was running low on munitions. Additionally, some top US generals reportedly advised against escalating matters with Iran. The rising economic cost of the war may also have influenced Trump's decision.

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talks some space

The conflict's expansion to the Red Sea, with pro-Iran Houthis blockading Saudi ships, poses a significant threat to the global economy. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb, crucial chokepoints for marine traffic, could have devastating impacts. While Trump's decision to halt attacks is seen as correct, the article argues the war was a mistake from the outset, advocating for a negotiated settlement with Iran.

Tehran is urged to show flexibility regarding the Hormuz issue and ensure a long-term arrangement for free passage of vessels. However, this respite does not guarantee peace, as related conflicts in Lebanon and Yemen could reignite fighting in the Gulf. Mediators are encouraged to convince the Houthis and Saudis to revive their ceasefire. The article also notes Israeli attacks in Lebanon and Ukraine's targeting of an Iranian ship as dangerous escalations, urging Western supporters of Kyiv to advise it to stay out of the complicated theatre. The hope is that the current lull leads to sustainable peace across the Middle East's volatile front lines.

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peace with the US will only be possible if there is peace in Lebanon