Mexicans Hopeful but Doubtful of National Team's World Cup Chances, Survey Finds

As Mexico prepares to co-host the 2026 World Cup, a new poll highlights a significant disconnect between national desire and perceived capability regarding the team's performance. While a majority of Mexicans (59%) express a strong wish for their national team to win the prestigious tournament, a mere 16% believe this aspiration is realistically achievable.

The survey, conducted by the Universidad del Valle de México (UVM), indicates a prevailing sense of caution among fans. Projections for the team's progress range widely, with 28% anticipating an exit in the round of 16, 20% hoping for a quarter-final appearance (the "fifth game"), and only 15% reaching the semi-finals or final. Despite these tempered expectations, the tournament itself is viewed as a significant national event, with 87% deeming it important and 84% believing it strengthens national identity.

Beyond the on-field prospects, the World Cup is expected to foster a strong sense of community and national pride. The poll shows that 91% of Mexicans anticipate the tournament will encourage people to gather, while 89% perceive a sense of unity when the national team plays. This collective spirit is further reflected in the 90% who associate national team victories with pride. The event is also poised to stimulate economic activity, with 72% expecting increased spending on food and beverages, and 35% anticipating higher expenditures on electronics and dining out.

However, the festive atmosphere may be tinged with some negativity, as 21% of respondents foresee insults occurring in stadiums, and 45% consider it probable. The survey, which polled respondents online between May 11-12, 2026, also noted that 62% plan to watch all of Mexico's matches, a figure that rises to 70% among men.