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🇮🇱 Israel /Conflict & Security

No shots fired since the ceasefire, but the war is psychological and economic

From Jerusalem Post · () English

Translated from English, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.

At a glance

Analysis Sources not specified Context piece
  • A ceasefire with Iran has largely held, despite ongoing rhetoric and tense global markets, indicating a shift towards psychological, economic, and strategic warfare.
  • Modern conflicts increasingly unfold in real-time across media platforms, with leaders signaling intentions publicly to influence not just enemies but also investors, allies, and domestic populations.
  • Economic disruption, particularly concerning oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz, has become a primary weapon, impacting global energy prices, supply chains, and inflation without direct military action.

The world is navigating a strange paradox: a ceasefire with Iran is in effect, yet tensions remain high, markets are volatile, and leaders exchange daily threats. This suggests the current conflict is less about military engagements and more about psychological, economic, and strategic battles of perception.

We will crush them

— US President Donald TrumpQuoted as part of the public rhetoric exchanged between leaders during the conflict.

Unlike past wars conducted in secrecy, modern conflicts play out publicly on screens and social media. Leaders now signal intentions, announce "red lines," and shape narratives in real-time, targeting not only adversaries but also investors, allies, and their own populations. This transformation is starkly evident in the confrontation with Iran, where rhetoric from leaders like U.S. President Donald Trump and senior Iranian officials has been consistently forceful, yet behind the words, a more cautious reality prevails.

We will not surrender

— senior Iranian officialsQuoted as part of the public rhetoric exchanged between leaders during the conflict.

The most potent weapon in this new era of conflict may not be missiles, but economic disruption. The Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of global oil passes, has become a critical focal point. Even the mere suggestion of a disruption there can send oil prices soaring, increase shipping costs, destabilize financial markets, and fuel inflation worldwide. This demonstrates a new reality of modern warfare: global economic consequences can arise with minimal direct military action, affecting energy-importing nations from China and India to Europe and East Asia.

Not a single drop of oil will leave the Gulf if aggression continues

— senior Iranian officialsQuoted as part of the public rhetoric exchanged between leaders during the conflict.
DistantNews Editorial

Originally published by Jerusalem Post in English. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.

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