Poland's Economy Boosted by Immigrants, Huawei Eyes Chip Breakthrough, GPW Hits Records

Foreigners living and working in Poland significantly boosted the national economy in 2025, contributing between 200 billion and 416 billion Polish zloty (approximately $51 billion to $105 billion) to the GDP. This represents a substantial impact, ranging from 5.1% to over 10.5% of the entire economy, according to a report by Deloitte, the Institute of Public Affairs, and Ipsos. Experts highlight that immigrants are increasingly vital not only in the labor market but also in consumption and investment. Social Security data shows their contribution to pension and disability insurance premiums has risen from under 4% to 6.3% in five years. Professor Paweł Kaczmarczyk from the University of Warsaw notes Poland's transition to a migration country, underscoring the need for a long-term migration management strategy. Notably, over half of Poles support accepting a moderate number of foreigners while managing integration risks.

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Immigrants are playing an increasingly important role not only in the labor market but also in consumption and investment.

In stark contrast, the Polish agricultural sector is experiencing a severe downturn. A report by Agroskop via Erste Leasing reveals a significant worsening of conditions, primarily due to low prices for agricultural products. This situation forces producers to make more cautious investment decisions, impacting the entire supply chain from machinery dealers to financial services. The Institute for Economic Development at SGH reports that the agricultural climate has seen its sharpest decline in 30 years. Official statistics from GUS confirm this trend, showing a year-on-year drop of over 13% in procurement prices for basic agricultural products in April, with oats and milk experiencing the most significant price decreases.

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Poland has become a migration country and needs a long-term strategy for migration management.

Meanwhile, Chinese technology giant Huawei has announced ambitious plans to develop 1.4nm chip manufacturing technology, with production slated to begin by 2031. This development, if successful, would represent a major leap for China in its quest for independence from Western semiconductor technology, as current Chinese firms operate at the 7nm level due to technological limitations and sanctions. Concurrently, Beijing is tightening its control over the capital market and restricting citizens' access to foreign investment assets, actions analysts suggest are aimed at giving authorities greater control over capital flows.

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Over half of Poles declare support for accepting a moderate number of foreigners while simultaneously limiting integration risks.

On the financial markets, the Warsaw Stock Exchange (GPW) experienced strong gains, with the WIG and WIG20 indices reaching new highs. This optimism is fueled by hopes for an agreement between the United States and Iran, which also boosted Asian markets. Japan's Nikkei index surpassed 65,000 points for the first time, and Taiwan's Taiex also set a record. Companies reporting first-quarter results on the GPW also contributed to the positive sentiment. Bank Handlowy reported a net profit 20% above forecasts, while XTB and Asbis presented very strong results. Dino's stock also surged following its earnings release.

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The economic climate in agriculture has fallen the most in 30 years.