Poll: Left-Leaning Coalition Possible in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Ahead of State Election

With state elections approaching in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, a new poll indicates the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party maintains its lead. However, the survey suggests a potential coalition of the Social Democrats (SPD), the Left Party, and the Greens could form a narrow majority. This scenario hinges on the Greens securing representation in the state parliament, a feat they have struggled to achieve in recent polls. The poll, conducted by Infratest dimap for NDR, shows the AfD at 36 percent, unchanged from a previous survey. The SPD, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, gained two points to 29 percent. Crucially, the Greens are projected to reach 5 percent, up one point, which would allow them to re-enter the Landtag. If the Greens succeed, a coalition of SPD, Left Party, and Greens would garner 46 percent of the seats, just one point more than all other represented parties combined. The Left Party is polling at 12 percent, down one point. The conservative CDU is expected to secure 9 percent, a slight decrease. The new BSW party, along with the FDP, is likely to fall short of the 5 percent threshold. The election is scheduled for September 20. In the 2021 state elections, the SPD was the strongest party with 39.6 percent, while the AfD received 16.7 percent. Schwesig has governed with the Left Party since then. The survey involved 1,167 eligible voters between July 2 and July 6.