President Lee's approval rating drops across progressive, centrist, and conservative voters
Translated from Korean, summarized and contextualized by DistantNews.
At a glance
- President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating has dropped to 51%, with a 6-point decrease in two weeks, while disapproval rose to 41%.
- The decline is observed across ideological lines, with notable drops among centrist, conservative, and progressive voters, as well as in the 30s, 40s, and 50s age groups.
- Experts caution against definitive conclusions about a fundamental shift in the voter base, suggesting that short-term polling fluctuations do not necessarily indicate a major realignment.
President Lee Jae-myung's job approval rating has fallen to 51%, a decrease of 6 percentage points over the past two weeks, according to a recent survey. Concurrently, the disapproval rating has climbed to 41%. This decline spans various voter demographics, indicating a broad-based erosion of support.
The survey data reveals significant drops in approval among centrist voters, who showed a 9-point decrease, followed by conservatives (7-point decrease) and progressives (5-point decrease). Age demographics also reflect this trend, with a 9-point drop among those in their 40s, and 6-point decreases among those in their 30s and 50s. Similar patterns were observed in other recent polls, which also highlighted a notable decline in support among centrist voters.
The definition of 'core' itself is 'a core group that does not change easily,' and if the 'core' is leaving, the voter landscape itself is changing.
Despite these figures, some public opinion experts advise against interpreting the current situation as a fundamental shift in the electorate. They argue that defining a "core" supporter base is inherently difficult and that a significant departure of such a group would signify a more profound change in the overall voter landscape. While internal party conflicts can alienate not only opposition but also centrist and core supporters, the current situation may not yet represent a complete voter realignment.
These experts emphasize that drawing firm conclusions based on one or two polls is premature. The fluctuations in approval ratings, particularly among different ideological and age groups, warrant continued observation. Detailed findings can be accessed through the Central Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Commission's website.
Whether the strata driving the approval rating decline are core or centrist is not something to be discussed based on one or two surveys.
Originally published by Hankyoreh in Korean. Translated, summarized, and contextualized by our editorial team with added local perspective. Read our editorial standards.