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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway /Elections & Politics

Progress Party Hits 18-Year Polling High as Conservatives Sink to Lowest Level Since 2009

From Aftenposten · () Norwegian

Translated from Norwegian and summarized by DistantNews. Read the original for the full story.

At a glance

Newswire Named sources Context piece
  • Norway's Progress Party reached 33.4 percent in a Norfakta poll, its strongest result since 2008 and its first above 30 percent in this poll series.
  • The Conservative Party fell 2.6 percentage points to 13.2 percent, its weakest result in Nationen's polling since 2009.
  • The Progress Party and Conservatives would hold 85 parliamentary seats between them, while adding the Christian Democrats and Liberals would give the center-right 89 seats against 80 for the center-left.

Norway's Progress Party has reached its strongest polling position in 18 years, while the Conservative Party has fallen to its weakest level in the same polling series since 2009.

The Progress Party, or Frp, received 33.4 percent in a September survey by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen. Its support rose 4.5 percentage points from August, and it had never exceeded 30 percent in the series. Polling analyst Johan Giertsen called the result "stunningly high" and said a higher figure had last appeared in a Dagens Nรฆringsliv poll in August 2008, when Frp stood at 34 percent.

Stunningly high

· Johan GiertsenThe Poll of Polls analyst described the Progress Party's 33.4 percent result.

The Conservatives, or Hรธyre, fell 2.6 points to 13.2 percent. The gap between the two parties now stands at 20.2 points. Nationen reported that nearly 80,000 people who voted Conservative in 2025 now say they would vote for Frp, which has also gained about 35,000 voters from the Labour Party.

The major test for Frp will be whether Sylvi Listhaug is also able to attract left-green voters, particularly from the Labour Party

· Johan GiertsenHe identified the party's challenge ahead of the next parliamentary election.

Giertsen said the major test for Frp leader Sylvi Listhaug would be whether she can continue attracting left-green voters, particularly from Labour. Election researcher Johannes Bergh said he did not view the result as a temporary surge. "It suggests that Frp has established itself as a governing party on the center-right," he told Klassekampen.

The poll gives Frp and Hรธyre exactly the 85 seats needed for a majority in the Storting. With the Christian Democratic Party and the Liberals, the center-right would hold 89 seats, compared with 80 for the left-green bloc. Five parties sit around the 4 percent threshold: SV, the Centre Party and the Greens are above it, while the Christian Democrats and Liberals are below it at 3.6 and 3.4 percent. The survey questioned 1,003 people on Sept. 1 and 2, and the changes for Frp and Hรธyre fell outside the margin of error.

It suggests that Frp has established itself as a governing party on the center-right

· Johannes BerghThe election researcher assessed the Progress Party's position in the poll.
About this summary

Originally published by Aftenposten in Norwegian. Translated, summarized, and contextualized automatically by DistantNews, with a note on how the source frames the story. Not individually reviewed before publishing. How this works.